Mumbai, May 16: Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) are trying to reach the IPL 2022 playoffs but the path to the knockouts is not an easy one for them.
The RCB led by Faf du Plessis have 16 oints from all 14 matches now and are currently placed at 4th on the league table.
Delhi Capitals also have 14 points from 13 matches and they will play their final league against Mumbai Indians. Can RCB enter their second successive IPL playoffs? Or will they falter at the final hurdle as it had happened on a couple of occasions in the past.
The qualification scenario of RCB is every bit complicated and, so here is the IPL 2022 playoffs scenario involving the RCB.
1 If RCB win against GT
RCB played their last league match in IPL 2022 against table-toppers Gujarat Titans on Thursday (May 19). RCB beat GT and now they have 16 points and got back to top 4. But their NRR is -0.253, still gives them not much room for confidence. Delhi Capitals can also reach 16 points if they win their last league match and their NRR is already good at +0.255. So, RCB would have to win really big to overtake DC in case both the teams get tied up at 16. But that did not happen.
Lucknow Super Giants have 18 points and have already qualified for the playoffs.
But if DC lose their last league match then the RCB will go through to the playoffs as the 3rd or 4th placed team. None of the other contenders can reach 16 points. Rajasthan Royals already have 16 points and in that case even a defeat in their last league match will not hurt the Sanju Samson led outfit.
2 If RCB lose to GT
If Royal Challengers lose to GT, then they will stay at 14 points. But if DC win their last league match against Mumbai Indians and Bangalore lose, then RCB will be out of playoff race as DC will go through with 16 points.
3 What happens if both RCB, DC lose
This is rather complicated scenario. If RCB lose to GT and DC lose to MI, then both the teams will end up at 14 points. But RCB’s NRR, which is already negative, will take a further beating and depends on the margin of defeat DC might just hang onto a positive NRR, unless the defeat is so huge.
In that case, Kolkata Knight Riders (12 points from 13 matches), Punjab Kings (12 points from 13 matches) and Sunrisers Hyderabad (10 points from 12 matches) all can reach 14 points. So we might have 3 or 4 teams getting locked on 14 points.
In that scenario, the NRR will come into play and RCB will be at a disadvantage as their NRR is in the negative space and already the lowest among all teams.
But the last two scenarios have been left redundant as RCB defeated Gujarat Titans and now have 16 points. They can now await the results of the remaining league matches.