Fans once anticipated the Arsenal vs. Manchester City match as a potential title decider, pitting Mikel Arteta's contenders against Pep Guardiola's champions. However, City's season took a downturn after Rodri's knee injury in September's 2-2 draw. Their title defence has faltered, with Champions League qualification now their primary goal. Arsenal remains in the title race but trails Liverpool by six points, having played one more game.
Arsenal concluded their Champions League group stage with a 2-1 victory over Girona and advanced to the last 16. Meanwhile, City faces play-offs after a tense 3-1 win against Club Brugge. As both teams return to league action, anticipation builds for their upcoming clash.

The Opta supercomputer predicts Arsenal as favourites for Sunday's match with a 46% chance of winning, while City's chances stand at 28.6%. The last two league meetings ended in draws, with a third draw rated at 25.4%. In their previous encounter at the Etihad Stadium, Arsenal held on despite Leandro Trossard's red card, and John Stones scored a late equaliser for City.
Arsenal secured a narrow 1-0 victory over City at the Emirates in October 2023. They aim to achieve consecutive home wins against City for the first time since 2005-06 to 2008-09 when they won four straight matches.
Arsenal has excelled in set-pieces this season, scoring 12 goals from them, excluding penalties—the highest in the Premier League. They also lead with nine assists from set-pieces. Players like Kai Havertz and Thomas Partey have contributed significantly.
City has conceded only two set-piece goals this season, sharing this record with Brentford. Gabriel Magalhaes scored one of these goals earlier in the season. Arsenal's aerial duel success rate is impressive at 51.24%, while City's is lower at 48.46%.
Erling Haaland struggled earlier this season but has regained form recently. He scored five goals in his last five Premier League appearances, surpassing his expected goals (xG) by 1.1 (3.9 xG). His accuracy improved significantly during this period.
Haaland's recent performances bode well for City as they face Arsenal again—a team he has scored against three times in five league matches.
Arsenal - Gabriel Magalhaes: Gabriel has been crucial for Arsenal this season with three Premier League goals, making him one of the top-scoring defenders alongside Josko Gvardiol.
Manchester City - Phil Foden: Foden found his stride in January, scoring six Premier League goals from six shots on target—an impressive feat matched by few players historically.
This highly anticipated match between Arsenal and Manchester City promises excitement as both teams seek crucial points in their respective campaigns.