England have started strongly in the Nations League without Gareth Southgate, winning against Ireland and Finland. Lee Carsley, still interim manager, aims to keep his perfect record. England seeks promotion back to League A but faces a tough challenge as Greece leads the group with better goal difference and three consecutive wins. England is determined to perform well at home after a disappointing previous campaign.
The Three Lions displayed attacking strength against Ireland and Finland, taking 38 shots and achieving 4.3 expected goals (xG) across both games. This makes them favourites for the upcoming match, with Opta giving them a 75.1% chance of victory. Greece has only a 10.2% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 14.6%. Historically, England has never lost to Greece in nine encounters.

Lee Carsley is not focused on his long-term future with England but is enhancing his chances for a permanent role. He aims to be the first manager since Fabio Capello in 2008 to win his first three competitive matches without conceding any goals. Key players like Phil Foden, Cole Palmer, and Jude Bellingham are available again after missing previous games due to illness and injury.
While England's attack garners attention, Carsley's defensive record is notable too. His team didn't concede at the 2023 U21 Euros and maintained this form in senior matches, facing only eight shots so far. Kyle Walker returns to the squad and could make his joint-fifth most appearances for England at Wembley if selected over Trent Alexander-Arnold.
England has won 16 of their last 21 competitive home matches, including the last five. However, Greece won't be easy opponents. They gained promotion from League C with consecutive wins and lead their group now. Since the Nations League began in 2018-19, Greece has won more games than any other team and boasts the best defensive record.
Harry Kane remains crucial for England, scoring 26 goals in 26 competitive home appearances. He aims to extend his streak of scoring in six consecutive home games after netting twice against Finland recently. For Greece, Fotis Ioannidis is a key player with three goals in the opening two matchdays of the UEFA Nations League but might miss this game due to an injury sustained during club play.
Greece hasn't won against top-five FIFA-ranked nations in their last 12 attempts but managed a draw against France recently. This shows they can compete with strong teams despite their challenging history against top-ranked nations.
The upcoming match at Wembley will test both teams' strengths and strategies as they vie for dominance in their Nations League group.