Eddie Howe has urged his Newcastle United squad to push for a final effort against Everton to secure Champions League qualification. Following a 1-0 defeat to Arsenal, Newcastle's top-five aspirations remain uncertain as they enter the last round of Premier League matches. They share 66 points with Chelsea and Aston Villa, while Nottingham Forest trails with 65 points.
A victory at home against Everton would ensure Newcastle's return to the Champions League for the second time in three seasons. "The prize is so big that everyone is fighting as much as they can," Howe stated. "We've never got ahead of ourselves. Now, it's going to go to the end, to the last game, and who knows? The twists and turns are there for everybody. All we can do is our best."

While Newcastle has much at stake, Everton's position remains unchanged at 13th place regardless of the outcome. Relegation concerns were dismissed earlier due to David Moyes' effective leadership since taking over from Sean Dyche. Last week, Everton concluded their tenure at Goodison Park with a 2-0 victory over Southampton, marking an emotional farewell.
Moyes expressed optimism about the club's future: "I wanted to make sure we finished [on a high]. We finish in a good enough fashion at home," he said. "I think there is the feeling that there might be a club which is coming back together. We're obviously all looking forward to it."
For Newcastle, Jacob Murphy stands out as a crucial player, especially with Alexander Isak's participation uncertain. Murphy has delivered 12 assists this season, trailing only Andrew Cole and Nolberto Solano in single-season assists for the club.
On Everton's side, Iliman Ndiaye made history by scoring twice in Goodison Park's final match against Southampton. Under Moyes' guidance, Ndiaye averages a goal every 141 minutes compared to one every 506 minutes under Dyche.
Newcastle appears poised for victory given their recent form and historical performance in final league games. They have won their last six home matches and aim for seven consecutive wins for the first time since 2023.
Conversely, Everton has only won their final league game once in eight seasons but has accumulated 28 points since Moyes' first win on January 19th—outperformed by just four other teams during this period.
| Outcome | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Newcastle Win | 67.5% |
| Everton Win | 14.7% |
| Draw | 17.8% |
The probability of Newcastle securing a win stands at 67.5%, while Everton holds a mere 14.7% chance of victory according to Opta statistics.