Mets vs Phillies Prediction, MLB 25: Odds, Starters, and Best Bets for April 23, 2025

Mets vs Phillies Prediction, MLB 25: The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field on April 23, 2025, for the final game of their three-game series against the New York Mets. The Phillies are currently -122 moneyline favorites, with the Mets coming in at +103.

Philadelphia will look to bounce back after a tough stretch, powered by the bat of Bryce Harper, while the Mets have been strong underdogs this season, showcasing solid pitching and offensive depth, particularly from Pete Alonso. With both teams looking to assert their dominance, expect a competitive finish in this midweek showdown.

Mets vs Phillies MLB 25 Current Form & Key Players:

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies come into this matchup with a 4-6 record over their last 10 games, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Their offensive strength is led by Kyle Schwarber, who has seven home runs and 16 RBIs on the season, along with Bryce Harper, who has five home runs and 21 walks. On the pitching side, the Phillies’ staff has struggled, posting a 6.03 ERA but managing a respectable 9.4 K/9 rate. They will look to improve their pitching performances as they try to take the series finale.

Key Players

Kyle Schwarber: Seven home runs, 16 RBIs.

Bryce Harper: .253 avg, five home runs, 21 walks.

Bryson Stott: .301 avg, nine-game hitting streak.

New York Mets

The Mets have been in strong form, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, led by their offensive dynamo Pete Alonso, who is hitting .349 with six home runs and 25 RBIs. The Mets’ pitching has been exceptional, with a 2.22 ERA and 10.1 K/9 rate. Francisco Lindor and Alonso will be key contributors to both the Mets' offense and defense. If David Peterson can keep the Phillies’ bats in check, New York will have a solid chance of pulling off the upset.

Key Players:

Pete Alonso: .349 avg, six home runs, 25 RBIs.

Francisco Lindor: .301 avg, five home runs, seven walks.

Juan Soto: .233 avg, three home runs, 18 walks.

Mets vs Phillies MLB 25: Head-to-Head Record

Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
Apr 22, 2025	Phillies	-1.5	8	-132	+112	1-5 Mets
Apr 21, 2025	Phillies	-1.5	8	-138	+118	4-5 Mets
Oct 9, 2024	Mets	-1.5	8	-122	+102	1-4 Mets
Oct 8, 2024	Phillies	-1.5	7	-113	-106	2-7 Mets
Oct 6, 2024	Mets	-1.5	8.5	-143	+121	6-7 Phillies

Series Recap

Mets lead 3–2 in the last five matchups.

Phillies have outscored the Mets 23–15 during that span.

Both teams have shown the ability to take games with strong pitching and timely hitting.

Phillies vs Mets, MLB 25 Betting Odds & Insights

Bet Type	Odds
Phillies Moneyline	-122
Mets Moneyline	+103
Run Line (Phillies -1.5)	+144
Over/Under (7.5 Runs)	Over -102 / Under -118

Betting Insights:

The Phillies are 10-5 when favored by -122 or more this season.

Mets are 2-1 as underdogs in their last three games.

Over has hit in 8 of the last 10 games for the Phillies.

The Mets’ bullpen has been strong, making them a dangerous underdog.

Phillies vs Mets, MLB 25 Prediction: Who Has the Edge?

Both teams enter this game with solid but differing strengths. The Phillies have the edge offensively, especially with Harper and Schwarber leading the charge. However, the Mets' pitching staff has been stellar, and with Alonso and Lindor producing, they have the tools to keep the game close.

While Philadelphia holds a slight advantage in this matchup, the Mets’ ability to control the game with their pitching and timely hits makes this a tight contest. Expect a lower-scoring game with both teams trying to capitalize on key moments.

Prediction: Mets 4, Phillies 3

Best Bet: Mets Moneyline (+103)

Value Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-118)

Betting Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice. Gambling involves financial risk and may be addictive. Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact your local helpline or support organization.