St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks, MLB 25: Odds, Starters, and Best Bets for April 17, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction: The New York Mets are set to host the St. Louis Cardinals on April 17, 2025, at 7:10 PM EDT, at Citi Field in New York. This National League matchup features two teams with identical head-to-head records since 1993, each securing 100 wins in their 207 encounters. Both teams aim to gain an edge in this evenly matched rivalry.

Its Thursday, April 17 and the Cardinals (9-9) are in Queens to take on the Mets (11-7). Andre Pallante is slated to take the mound for St. Louis against Griffin Canning for New York.The Cardinals were able to pick up a 4-1 win over the Astros last night.

Steven Matz picked up the win. He went 5.0 innings with just one run given up, on two hits. It was a bullpen game for the Mets. They were beat 4-3 by the Twins in extra innings.

Current Form & Key Players

New York Mets

The Mets have experienced a mixed start to the season, with a recent record of 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five games. They have averaged 4.0 runs per game during this stretch, with a Handicap-Runs Win% of 40.0% and a Total Runs Over% of 40.0%.

Francisco Lindor has been a standout performer at Citi Field this season, boasting a .381 batting average, .423 on-base percentage, and .619 slugging percentage over six home games.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have shown slightly better form, winning 3 of their last 5 games. They have also averaged 4.0 runs per game, with a Handicap-Runs Win% of 60.0% and a Total Runs Over% of 60.0%.

Andre Pallante has been impressive on the mound, recording a 2-0 record with a 2.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts. In his last outing, he delivered seven scoreless innings, allowing just two hits against the Phillies.

Head-to-Head: Mets vs. Cardinals (Last 5 Games)

Date	Winner	Score	Venue	Notable
Mar 22, 2025	Mets	3–2	Neutral	Close contest
Mar 15, 2025	Draw	3–3	Neutral	Evenly matched game
Mar 13, 2025	Mets	2–0	Neutral	Mets' pitching dominates
Mar 11, 2025	Mets	8–0	Neutral	Mets' offense erupts
Mar 5, 2025	Cardinals	6–1	Neutral	Cardinals' strong performance

Series Recap:

Mets lead 3–1–1 in the last five matchups

Both teams have demonstrated competitive play

Expect another closely contested game

Betting Odds & Insights

Bet Type	Odds
Mets Moneyline	-139
Cardinals Moneyline	+117
Run Line (Mets -1.5)	+145
Over/Under (8 Runs)	Over -110 / Under -110

Betting Insights:

The Mets have a Handicap-Runs Win% of 40.0% in their last 5 games

The Cardinals have a Handicap-Runs Win% of 60.0% in their last 5 games

Both teams have averaged 4.0 runs per game in their recent matchups

Prediction: Who Has the Edge?

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, this matchup appears evenly balanced. However, the Mets' slight edge in recent head-to-head games and home-field advantage could play a crucial role.

Prediction: Mets 5, Cardinals 4

Best Bet: Mets Moneyline (-139)

Value Pick: Over 8 Runs (-110)

As the Mets and Cardinals face off at Citi Field, both teams aim to tip the scales in their favor in this historically balanced rivalry. With both teams displaying similar offensive outputs and recent performances, fans can anticipate a thrilling and closely contested game.

Betting Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice. Gambling involves financial risk and may be addictive. Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact your local helpline or support organization.