World T20: How MS Dhoni-led India can make the semi-finals?

World T20 Special Site; Photos; Points Table

With 4 points from 3 matches and 1 game in hand, the Mahendra Singh Dhoni-led India are in a must-win situation. It is a do-or-die battle on Sunday in Mohali against the Australians.

Indian players celebrate their victory over Bangladesh in Bengaluru

How India can make the semi-finals?

Scenario 1

If Australia beat Pakistan on Friday (March 25), then India have to defeat Australia in their final league game on Sunday (March 27) to reach the semi-finals without net run rate calculations. If the hosts lose, then Australia will progress with 6 points.

Scenario 2

If Pakistan beat Australia and India lose to Australia then it comes down to net run rate with all the 3 teams locked on 4 points each. India most likely will be out due to poor net run rate compared to other two. Pakistan likely to qualify.

Scenario 3

If both Pakistan-Australia and India-Australia matches are washed out, then India will go through with 5 points.

Scenario 4

If Pakistan defeat Australia, again India-Australia game will be a virtual quarter-final with the winner progressing.

Scenario 5

India's best chance is to win against Australia and decide their fate themselves than leave to others. A victory will definitely take them to knockouts irrespective of other results.

Current standings in Group 2 (Super 10 Stage) with Net Run Rate (NRR)

1. New Zealand - 6 points (3 games) (NRR +1.283)

2. India - 4 points (3 games) (-0.546)

3. Pakistan - 2 points (3 games) (+0.254)

4. Australia - 2 points (2 games) (+0.108)

5. Bangladesh - 0 points (3 games) (-1.165)

Group 2 remaining matches

Friday (March 25) - Australia Vs Pakistan (3 PM IST) in Mohali

Saturday (March 26) - New Zealand Vs Bangladesh (3 PM IST) in Kolkata

Sunday (March 27) - India Vs Australia (7.30 PM IST) in Mohali

Already qualified for semi-finals - New Zealand (3 wins out of 3 - 6 points)

Out of semi-final race - Bangladesh (3 losses out of 3)